Language:English
Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.36%49.21%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.912.0055.25%52.72%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.64%50.79%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9157.80%53.72%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 49.36%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 50.64%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -1.29%E -0.644%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.28%E -2.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 07:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.22%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.84%E -4.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 07:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -10.36%E -5.85%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -10.67%E -5.89%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -12.39%E -7.16%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-26 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.