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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 44.46%2.25公平赔率
EV +1.36%
优势 +0.598%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
41.69%44.37%44.30%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.102.102.2850.76%47.53%47.62%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 55.54%1.80公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.95%55.63%55.70%58.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.701.701.7562.11%58.94%58.82%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：44.46%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：55.54%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.28，对应+1.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +1.36%E +0.598%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.47%E -5.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 08:55
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.30%E -0.588%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.19%E -0.997%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.19%E -0.997%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 08:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.19%E -0.997%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 08:35
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -3.53%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-14 08:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 08:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 08:33
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.58%E -6.57%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 08:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 08:40
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 08:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 08:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 08:39
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.42%E -4.09%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 08:45
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 08:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.47%E -5.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.42%E -6.30%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.58%E -6.57%K -17.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 08:41
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。