Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 35.37%2.83fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.34%35.41%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.652.632.8041.84%37.74%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 64.63%1.55fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.89%64.66%64.59%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.59%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 35.37%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 64.63%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.975%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.975%E -0.348%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.975%E -0.348%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.68%E -0.605%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 07:44
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.74%E -0.997%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 13:34
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -3.45%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 07:44
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 08:45
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.70%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 08:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 08:00
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 07:45
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 07:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 08:49
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.51%E -6.79%K -23.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 07:45
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.99%E -2.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 08:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 08:54
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:45
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 08:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 08:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 08:45
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 07:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.93%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 02:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -8.22%E -5.79%K -19.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 37.11%EV -15.47%E -6.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -8.87%E -6.29%K -21.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-31 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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