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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.918%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%43.30%43.58%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.3548.78%46.34%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV +0.057%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.70%56.42%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.681.7764.52%59.82%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 43.47%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 56.53%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.16%E +0.918%K +1.60%G +0.034% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.25%E -7.16%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.017%E -0.008%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -10.12%E -6.36%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.017%E -0.008%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.38%E -7.99%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.887%E -0.389%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 06:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.93%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 08:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -6.10%E -2.83%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +0.057%E +0.032%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.64%E -0.942%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.64%E -0.942%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -8.28%E -3.92%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.