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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV +0.986%
Edge +0.290%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.73%29.36%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.173.203.4037.04%31.50%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 70.30%1.42fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -9.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.84%70.27%70.64%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.05%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 29.70%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 70.30%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.986%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +0.986%E +0.290%K +0.411%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.91%E -6.04%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV +0.095%E +0.028%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-22 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.095%E +0.028%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.095%E +0.028%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.98%E -0.601%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.69%E -2.69%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-23 04:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -1.98%E -0.601%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -10.02%E -7.83%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 15:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.36%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.39%E -3.23%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-23 03:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.61%E -6.62%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.44%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.69%E -2.69%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 04:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.44%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 15:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.74%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-22 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 04:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 20:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.39%E -3.23%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 13:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-23 04:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-22 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -16.83%E -6.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.46%EV -9.32%E -7.22%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-23 04:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -19.81%E -7.34%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -10.02%E -7.83%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-23 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.