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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 47.74%2.09fair odd
EV +0.256%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.233%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%47.88%47.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.972.002.1054.95%50.78%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.12%52.36%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.801.801.8960.24%55.63%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 47.74%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 52.26%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.256%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.256%E +0.122%K +0.233%G +0.001% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.256%E +0.122%K +0.233%G +0.001% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +0.256%E +0.122%K +0.233%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -11.68%E -6.91%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 08:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.84%E -2.09%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-25 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.02%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.23%E -0.651%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-25 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 05:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.72%E -5.73%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 14:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.20%E -6.02%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -11.68%E -6.91%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.68%E -6.31%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 05:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.70%EV -13.11%E -7.20%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.30%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.