Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

2026-09-25 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%49.81%50.00%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9657.14%53.36%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%50.19%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9357.80%53.62%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 49.90%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 50.10%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.96, with an expected value of -2.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 14:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 14:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 17:45
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 14:14
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 14:18
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.32%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 14:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.95%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 14:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-24 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-24 14:14
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.58%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.32%E -6.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-24 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.71%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.33%E -7.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-24 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.