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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 45.16%2.21fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.17%45.25%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.082.1551.55%48.13%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 54.84%1.82fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%54.83%54.75%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.7961.35%58.17%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 45.16%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 54.84%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -1.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-20 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-20 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.80%E -1.79%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-20 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 08:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 08:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 08:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-20 08:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-20 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 08:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-20 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-20 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-19 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-20 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.58%E -5.34%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.52%E -5.77%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-20 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.03%E -5.60%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%EV -12.38%E -6.38%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%EV -10.62%E -6.51%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-20 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.