The School of Odds

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons

2026-07-22 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 49.53%2.02fair odd
EV -0.931%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.33%49.60%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.811.901.912.0055%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 50.47%1.98fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.67%50.40%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.871.9456%54%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.931%E -0.465%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.931%E -0.465%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:00
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 14:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 13:49
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.10%E -1.08%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 14:30
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-21 14:25
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 14:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.89%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 14:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.89%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 14:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 14:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.88%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.88%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 15:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.88%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 17:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:30
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:35
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 15:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 14:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.34%E -5.71%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.67%E -5.40%K -12.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.