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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 48.23%2.07fair odd
EV -0.168%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.18%48.23%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0754.64%51.32%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 51.77%1.93fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.82%51.77%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.831.9158.14%55.13%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 48.23%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 51.77%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.073. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.070, with an expected value of -0.168%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.168%E -0.081%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-28 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.13%E -0.553%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.13%E -0.553%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 07:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.36%E -4.73%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.47%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.47%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 07:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 07:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.96%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.92%E -3.59%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.92%E -3.59%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.92%E -3.59%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.92%E -3.59%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.92%E -3.59%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 07:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.584%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 05:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.88%E -5.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.78%E -5.83%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.45%EV -11.74%E -6.42%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-28 07:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.