The School of Odds
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 56.43%1.77fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%56.51%56.35%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.07%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%43.49%43.65%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.012.172.202.2249.75%46.10%45.45%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 56.43%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.57%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -2.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 08:30
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 08:50
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 16:40
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 08:50
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-02 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 16:39
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 16:40
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 08:46
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:29
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:29
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 00:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 08:29
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 04:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 04:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 04:10
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-03 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.83%E -6.86%K -18.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -12.43%E -6.18%K -12.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-03 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.