Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 52.73%1.90fair odd
EV +0.719%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.48%52.96%53.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.37%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 47.27%2.12fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%47.52%47.04%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.961.952.1053.19%51.01%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 52.73%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 47.27%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.719%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.719%E +0.376%K +0.790%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.77%E -4.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 05:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.77%E -4.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 05:50
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -10.19%E -5.36%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:09
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.863%E -0.459%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 08:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.50%E -1.91%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 08:50
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.50%E -1.91%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 06:09
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.03%E -2.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.03%E -2.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.03%E -2.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.55%E -2.52%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.738%E -0.352%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-11 08:40
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.55%E -2.52%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.10%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.10%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 08:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.08%E -2.82%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 08:40
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 08:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 08:49
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.66%E -3.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 08:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-11 08:40
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-11 08:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-11 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.77%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.83%E -5.75%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-11 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.96%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.04%EV -11.14%E -5.92%K -12.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-11 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.