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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.36%47.74%47.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.1254.05%51.02%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 52.20%1.92fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.26%52.23%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.48%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 47.80%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 52.20%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +1.34%E +0.631%K +1.19%G +0.016% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +1.34%E +0.631%K +1.19%G +0.016% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.01%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.01%E -0.980%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 08:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 13:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.74%E -6.28%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.88%E -2.45%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.87%E -0.992%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.09%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -3.95%E -2.15%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 08:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 08:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.70%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-19 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-19 08:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.57%E -6.25%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-19 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.