The School of Odds

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-19 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 47.06%2.13fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.00%47.05%48.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.1053%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 52.94%1.89fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.00%52.95%54.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.781.8358%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.18%E -0.562%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:30
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.18%E -0.562%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:29
William Hill2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 14:05
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.59%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 20:00
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 14:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 13:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 14:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 13:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.17%E -2.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 13:15
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:10
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:14
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 13:15
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 13:15
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 13:23
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.41%E -4.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.41%E -4.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.94%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.41%E -4.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:25
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.30%E -3.70%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:40
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:39
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:44
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.77%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.64%E -2.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:44
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.24%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.24%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 20:45
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.24%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 18:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.24%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 18:05
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.65%E -5.03%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.65%E -5.03%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.41%E -4.86%K -11.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:14
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.12%E -5.30%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.76%EV -9.47%E -5.54%K -13.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.59%E -5.57%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.47%E -5.54%K -13.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.