The School of Odds

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-18 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.45%48.47%50.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.952.0055%52%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%51.55%51.53%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.831.8958%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-17 18:04
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 12:30
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.68%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 12:50
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.16%E -2.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 12:39
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 13:49
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 12:35
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 15:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:34
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:34
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 12:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 15:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 12:34
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 12:35
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 13:05
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 13:12
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 13:19
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.58%E -3.05%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 18:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 13:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 13:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.96%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 18:04
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.00%E -4.79%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.19%E -5.22%K -12.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 12:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -9.49%E -5.07%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -2.48%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.94%E -5.95%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.74%E -6.21%K -14.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 12:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.22%E -5.87%K -13.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.