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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 40.71%2.46fair odd
EV +5.03%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +3.18%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%40.89%40.57%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.5847.62%43.84%44.44%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 59.29%1.69fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.811%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%59.11%59.43%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.7165.79%62.48%62.50%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 40.71%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 59.29%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +5.03%E +1.95%K +3.18%G +0.160% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -9.29%E -6.07%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 04:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.30%E -0.957%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.32%E -4.00%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 08:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.93%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.33%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.69%E -5.64%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.33%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.88%E -6.50%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-22 08:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.29%E -6.07%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.29%E -6.07%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV +1.39%E +0.811%K +1.95%G +0.027% | 2.9% | 2026-06-22 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.54%E -2.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.40%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -9.22%E -4.13%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV +0.794%E +0.467%K +1.13%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 08:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.985%E -0.590%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.44%E -4.75%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.51%E -4.81%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -12.47%E -5.80%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.985%E -0.590%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-22 08:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -13.29%E -6.24%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -9.88%E -6.50%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -14.51%E -6.91%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +1.39%E +0.811%K +1.95%G +0.027% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.