Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 09:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV +0.251%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.70%44.15%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.162.152.2850.51%46.39%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.47%56.30%55.85%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.94%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 43.97%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 56.03%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.251%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.251%E +0.110%K +0.196%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.99%E -4.21%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 09:00
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -0.189%E -0.083%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 08:58
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 09:00
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.07%E -0.475%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 09:00
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.51%E -0.673%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-25 08:59
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 08:46
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 08:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.23%E -5.70%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.27%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 09:00
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 08:59
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 08:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 08:59
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 08:59
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 08:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.34%E -2.98%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:59
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 09:00
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 08:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 09:00
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 08:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 08:59
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-25 08:59
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.98%E -4.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.07%E -1.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.75%E -2.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 08:59
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.55%E -4.58%K -11.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.11%E -4.95%K -12.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 08:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -12.94%E -6.54%K -13.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -10.35%E -6.47%K -17.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-25 08:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.