Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 07:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 50.82%1.97fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.817%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.19%50.91%50.82%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.872.0057.47%53.88%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 49.18%2.03fair odd
EV +0.825%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.09%49.18%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0555.56%52.55%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 50.82%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 49.18%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV +1.63%E +0.817%K +1.63%G +0.027%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -8.52%E -4.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 06:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 06:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 06:20
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 06:25
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.03%E -4.29%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -1.63%E -0.817%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 06:45
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:25
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.96%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 06:25
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.59%E -2.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 06:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 06:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 06:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 06:30
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.29%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:54
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.29%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 06:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 06:35
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 05:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 06:30
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 06:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 06:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 05:29
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.63%E -0.817%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 06:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.05%E -5.68%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 06:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.07%E -6.33%K -14.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 06:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.58%E -6.65%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.825%E +0.402%K +0.786%G +0.006%6.3%2026-08-23 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -11.58%E -6.65%K -15.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.47%E -6.37%K -14.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.