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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 54.24%1.84fair odd
EV +0.348%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.82%54.04%54.22%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.751.741.8561.35%57.30%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV -0.248%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.96%45.78%48.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.052.1851.81%49.15%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 54.24%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 45.76%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.348%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV +0.348%E +0.188%K +0.409%G +0.001% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -8.94%E -4.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-14 17:54 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.86%E -5.00%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -10.31%E -5.26%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.36%E -1.31%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-15 08:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.53%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.248%E -0.114%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-15 08:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.53%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -2.54%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.53%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.99%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.53%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.99%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.65%E -3.26%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.77%E -5.52%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 08:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-15 08:43 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.70%E -3.90%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.99%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-15 08:29 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-15 08:34 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.33%E -4.93%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:24 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.33%E -4.93%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.96%E -6.00%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -9.86%E -5.00%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.59%E -7.11%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-15 08:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.