Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.78%47.64%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0653.76%51.40%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV +0.411%
Edge +0.214%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.22%52.36%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.821.9259.17%55.14%54.95%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 47.70%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 52.30%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.411%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -7.46%E -3.84%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV +0.411%E +0.214%K +0.446%G +0.002%3.6%2026-09-01 08:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -1.16%E -0.613%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:39
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -1.68%E -0.894%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -1.68%E -0.894%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -1.68%E -0.894%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -1.68%E -0.894%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -1.68%E -0.894%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.50%E -3.32%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.25%E -1.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.25%E -1.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:24
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -1.73%E -0.841%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -3.77%E -2.05%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 08:50
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.36%E -4.93%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -3.77%E -2.05%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.12%E -2.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.12%E -2.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 08:20
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.30%E -2.35%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:45
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 08:45
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.82%E -2.65%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 08:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 08:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.89%E -4.65%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.07%E -2.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.39%E -3.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 08:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 08:18
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.48%E -4.85%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 08:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.98%E -3.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.00%E -5.17%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -9.84%E -5.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -10.05%E -5.84%K -13.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.59%E -2.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.57%E -6.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.27%E -6.06%K -13.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -11.62%E -6.87%K -16.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.