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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.08%47.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV -1.000%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.92%52.06%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.9058.82%55.36%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 47.89%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 52.11%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -1.000%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.82%E -0.886%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.77%E -1.37%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.69%E -3.14%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.77%E -1.37%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.69%E -3.14%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.73%E -3.76%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.17%E -2.84%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.21%E -2.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.77%E -4.39%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:33 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.17%E -2.61%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.17%E -2.61%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.17%E -2.61%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.69%E -3.14%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -6.13%E -3.13%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -1.000%E -0.526%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 08:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.13%E -3.13%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:40 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.82%E -5.04%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.82%E -5.04%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 08:34 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.34%E -5.37%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.56%E -3.92%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -9.48%E -5.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -9.96%E -5.30%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.86%E -5.70%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.40%E -6.16%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.42%E -6.72%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.35%E -6.75%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.35%E -6.75%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.