Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 51.92%1.93fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.93%51.98%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.821.8559.52%55.33%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.07%48.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0555.56%51.35%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 51.92%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 48.08%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -1.91%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-03 08:30
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 08:44
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 08:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 22:44
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-03 08:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 08:40
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.27%E -2.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.51%E -3.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.75%E -2.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 08:45
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 08:45
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 08:29
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 13:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 13:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 08:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.55%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 22:43
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.43%E -0.696%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -11.22%E -6.56%K -15.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-03 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -13.45%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-03 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.