The School of Odds

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-16 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 58.01%1.72fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%58.07%57.90%60.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6964%62%62%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 41.99%2.38fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%41.93%42.10%42.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3647%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 19:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-15 19:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.13%E -1.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.42%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 13:14
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.71%E -2.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -3.00%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-15 13:35
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.71%E -2.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.26%E -1.87%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 14:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.29%E -2.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.899%E -0.381%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-15 17:35
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.29%E -2.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 13:19
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.29%E -2.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 13:24
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.29%E -2.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.94%E -2.65%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 17:39
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.87%E -2.97%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.68%E -2.06%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 13:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.03%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.42%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 13:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.03%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.42%E -1.49%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 14:54
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.03%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 13:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.03%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 13:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.03%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.62%E -3.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 13:14
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 13:19
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 14:57
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 13:45
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 14:09
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.62%E -3.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 13:24
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.62%E -3.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.62%E -3.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 13:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.61%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.62%E -3.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 18:04
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.35%E -5.28%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.72%E -4.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-15 13:18
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.93%E -5.69%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 19:24
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.93%E -5.69%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.52%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 17:45
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.51%E -6.09%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -1.32%E -0.561%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 18:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.51%E -6.09%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.82%E -5.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-15 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.09%E -6.51%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.82%E -5.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-15 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.