Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd
EV +0.055%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.99%51.85%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.9358.48%55.52%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%48.01%48.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.962.002.1255.25%50.97%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 51.84%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 48.16%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +2.10%E +0.988%K +1.87%G +0.039%4.3%2026-07-16 08:25
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.80%E -5.63%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.28%E -0.622%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 08:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 08:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 08:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 08:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 08:55
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.24%E -4.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 08:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.31%E -5.96%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 08:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.31%E -5.96%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.31%E -5.96%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 08:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.35%E -6.64%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 08:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV +0.055%E +0.028%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-16 08:55
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 08:55
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.24%E -4.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 08:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-16 08:35
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.05%E -3.66%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 08:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.982%E -0.514%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 08:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:55
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:53
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:55
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.50%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:45
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.50%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:50
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.94%E -5.32%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -8.76%E -4.98%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.91%E -5.90%K -12.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.31%E -5.96%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -12.83%E -7.09%K -15.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-16 08:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.