Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 55.90%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 44.10%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV +2.30%E +1.25%K +2.77%G +0.064% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -8.71%E -4.21%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +2.30%E +1.25%K +2.77%G +0.064% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -15.33%E -7.98%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.06%E -0.598%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.06%E -0.598%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -1.62%E -0.919%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -6.07%E -2.85%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.07%E -2.85%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.07%E -2.85%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 04:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 03:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 04:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.80%E -5.90%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 03:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.86%E -1.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 04:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 04:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.32%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.32%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.59%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.