The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.07%48.54%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.961.962.0554.95%50.96%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -0.117%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.93%51.46%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.9358.14%55.48%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 48.25%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 51.75%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.932. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.930, with an expected value of -0.117%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.09%E -0.533%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.95%E -5.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 08:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 08:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:44
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:45
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 08:43
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 08:24
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 08:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 08:25
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -0.117%E -0.061%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 08:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.40%E -3.30%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 08:40
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.70%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.70%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 08:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 08:34
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 08:53
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 08:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.84%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 08:30
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.15%E -0.603%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -12.19%E -6.70%K -14.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-12 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.