Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -0.681%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.08%42.26%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.232.3647.62%44.71%44.84%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 57.92%1.73fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.92%57.74%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.47%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 42.08%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.92%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.36, with an expected value of -0.681%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.681%E -0.289%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.10%E -0.469%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 03:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.10%E -0.469%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 03:54
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-06 04:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.21%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 04:29
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.21%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.21%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.23%E -6.60%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 04:35
William Hill🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 18:58
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 03:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 03:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 04:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 04:49
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 03:52
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.07%E -5.78%K -15.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 04:30
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 04:30
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:57
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 04:35
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 04:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 01:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 18:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 18:04
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:35
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 03:25
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 13:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 03:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.33%E -4.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.