Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 40.35%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 59.65%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.96%E -0.807%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.36%E -0.977%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 13:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 05:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.80%E -2.94%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 06:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 08:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.21%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 05:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 08:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.