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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -0.678%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.502%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.28%42.26%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.242.3546.51%44.84%44.74%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 57.74%1.73fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.72%57.74%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.6964.10%61.07%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 42.26%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.74%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.678%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.678%E -0.288%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.678%E -0.288%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.15%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 08:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 08:44
William Hill🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.16%E -2.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 05:24
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.06%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 08:39
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.06%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 08:39
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 08:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 08:34
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 08:44
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 06:00
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 08:44
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 08:34
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 08:48
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.15%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:49
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.87%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 08:45
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.47%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 08:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 14:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.93%E -6.37%K -17.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 06:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.16%E -2.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 18:25
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.16%E -2.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 18:25
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.16%E -2.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 18:30
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.16%E -2.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 18:30
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 08:43
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.