Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.61
assuming max odds 1.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 39.40%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 60.60%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.84%E +1.09%K +1.76%G +0.050% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.68%E -4.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.84%E +1.09%K +1.76%G +0.050% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.68%E -4.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.86%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.04%E -1.90%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.86%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.68%E -4.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 06:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.83%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 05:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.68%E -4.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.68%E -4.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.10%E -6.07%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.31%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 08:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.