Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 1.72
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 40.10%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 59.90%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.02%E +1.76%K +4.20%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.77%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.029%E +0.017%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 07:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.56%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 07:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.546%E -0.220%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.546%E -0.220%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 07:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.77%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.16%E -2.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 04:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -0.546%E -0.220%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 07:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.75%E -0.714%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.76%E -3.00%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.56%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 07:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.76%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 07:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.56%E -1.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 07:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.76%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 07:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.75%E -0.714%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 40.49%EV -12.18%E -5.56%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.51%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.