The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 41.52%2.41fair odd
EV +0.469%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%41.71%41.48%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.252.4248.78%44.04%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 58.48%1.71fair odd
EV +0.007%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%58.29%58.52%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.611.7164.94%61.85%62.11%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 41.52%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 58.48%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.469%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.469%E +0.194%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.26%E -3.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.361%E -0.150%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.361%E -0.150%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.361%E -0.150%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.361%E -0.150%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.02%E -0.857%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.26%E -3.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.44%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 08:15
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.85%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:50
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.10%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.26%E -3.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:50
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:55
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.93%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.33%E -1.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 08:50
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.76%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.09%E -2.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:54
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.26%E -3.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 08:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:50
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:37
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 08:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 08:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.42%E -3.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.84%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 08:54
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.08%E -4.15%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 20:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.010%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 08:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -1.16%E -0.688%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 22:44
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -14.89%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -2.33%E -1.40%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.