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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 50.32%1.99fair odd
EV +0.130%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.20%50.11%50.00%52.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9955.56%52.95%53.19%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 49.68%2.01fair odd
EV +0.857%
Edge +0.422%
Kelly +0.832%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.95%49.89%50.00%52.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.872.0356.50%53.60%53.48%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 50.32%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 49.68%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.857%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV +0.857%E +0.422%K +0.832%G +0.007% | 2.7% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.90%E -2.59%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 04:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.12%E -1.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.11%E -2.13%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 04:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.43%E -5.24%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.60%E -2.95%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.79%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.59%E -4.08%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:53 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +0.130%E +0.065%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 04:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.91%E -3.16%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.33%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.96%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -8.42%E -4.63%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -10.07%E -5.57%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.88%E -0.965%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.57%E -5.87%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -0.373%E -0.188%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -0.876%E -0.445%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -0.876%E -0.445%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -0.876%E -0.445%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -0.876%E -0.445%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -0.876%E -0.445%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -12.06%E -6.81%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 04:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.