Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.27%52.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8858.14%55.77%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -0.431%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.73%48.00%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.982.002.0854.95%50.54%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 52.13%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 47.87%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -0.431%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 03:30
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.04%E -1.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 03:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 03:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.13%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 03:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 03:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 03:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 03:30
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.05%E -4.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 03:29
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.431%E -0.207%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.48%E -5.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-14 03:49
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 20:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.87%E -0.911%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 15:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.81%E -5.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.81%E -5.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.81%E -5.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.34%E -6.01%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -12.88%E -7.08%K -15.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 03:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.