Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 53.38%1.87fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%53.24%53.52%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.771.8559.88%56.24%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 46.62%2.15fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.76%46.48%48.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.002.002.1152.91%50.05%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 53.38%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 46.62%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -7.23%E -3.63%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 05:39
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 04:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 04:19
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 04:20
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.24%E -0.671%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 04:19
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.64%E -0.776%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 08:50
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 08:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 01:51
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.83%E -2.89%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 08:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.58%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 01:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 23:39
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 08:40
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 08:30
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 07:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 08:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -8.72%E -5.10%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 08:50
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -10.85%E -6.50%K -16.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -11.89%E -6.29%K -13.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-12 08:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.