Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 61.27%1.63fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -6.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.52%61.25%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.521.531.5770.42%65.88%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV +8.45%
Edge +3.02%
Kelly +4.69%
Growth +0.396%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%38.48%38.75%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.492.452.8044.84%40.11%40.82%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 61.27%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 38.73%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.00%E -9.15%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.45%E +3.02%K +4.69%G +0.396%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.461%E -0.179%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.461%E -0.179%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.24%E -0.484%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.81%E -2.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-13 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.65%E -3.67%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 04:50
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.81%E -2.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 04:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 04:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.81%E -2.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.03%E -3.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.33%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 04:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 04:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 04:40
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 04:30
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.10%E -5.40%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.65%E -3.67%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.88%E -2.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.81%E -2.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.04%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.04%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 04:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.04%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 04:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.04%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 04:40
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.10%E -5.40%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.04%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 16:19
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.98%E -3.82%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 16:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.98%E -3.82%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 15:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.10%E -5.40%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -9.93%E -6.76%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -13.63%E -6.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-13 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.