The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV -0.447%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.69%45.77%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.062.052.1851.81%48.63%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%54.31%54.23%55.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.7861.35%57.71%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 45.67%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 54.33%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.447%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.447%E -0.205%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.447%E -0.205%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 03:55
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.36%E -0.630%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.37%E -2.48%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 03:55
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 03:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 03:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 03:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 03:34
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 03:34
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 03:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:50
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.37%E -2.48%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 03:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 03:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 03:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 03:19
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:30
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 03:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 03:30
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:45
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:45
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 03:45
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.21%E -4.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.37%E -2.48%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 03:54
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:46
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 16:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 22:34
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.63%E -4.49%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 03:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 03:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -11.86%E -6.15%K -12.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.44%E -7.02%K -18.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 03:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.