The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 06:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV +0.847%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.530%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.86%38.93%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.412.402.6044.64%41.55%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 61.21%1.63fair odd
EV -0.836%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.46%61.14%61.07%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.551.531.6268.49%64.69%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 38.79%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 61.21%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.847%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.847%E +0.326%K +0.530%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 05:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.09%E -0.428%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 05:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.09%E -0.428%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 05:34
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.26%E -0.895%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 04:55
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 06:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.41%E -6.36%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 05:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.02%E -6.81%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 04:54
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 06:50
William Hill🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 05:24
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 04:49
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 04:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 04:54
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 06:34
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.13%E -2.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.90%E -2.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 06:43
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 04:54
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 06:05
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 04:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 04:55
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 04:45
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 04:45
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 04:43
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.41%E -6.36%K -19.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 06:49
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -11.56%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -0.836%E -0.516%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%EV -13.12%E -5.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%EV -10.63%E -7.28%K -23.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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