Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 43.70%2.29fair odd
EV +0.508%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.46%43.73%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.03%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.30%1.78fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.54%56.27%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.33%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 43.70%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 56.30%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.508%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.508%E +0.221%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 03:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.508%E +0.221%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 03:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 14:08
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -11.04%E -6.99%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 03:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 03:45
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 03:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 03:44
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.68%E -0.745%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 03:45
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 03:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 02:40
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.86%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 22:44
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.47%E -0.842%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 03:35
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.30%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 03:04
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.74%E -2.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:45
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 03:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 03:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 03:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 03:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 02:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 02:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.05%E -2.81%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.48%E -3.03%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:45
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.80%E -3.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 03:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 02:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 02:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 03:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 02:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 02:50
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.23%E -3.92%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 02:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.42%E -5.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 03:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.