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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 30.78%3.25fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.842%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%30.92%30.82%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.053.053.3437.74%32.74%32.79%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 69.22%1.44fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%69.08%69.18%71.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.361.4277.52%73.79%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 30.78%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 69.22%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV +2.81%E +0.842%K +1.20%G +0.034% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV +1.89%E +0.570%K +0.817%G +0.015% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.040%E +0.012%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -0.883%E -0.274%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.50%E -0.468%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.50%E -0.468%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.50%E -0.468%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.50%E -0.468%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.81%E -0.566%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.81%E -0.566%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.48%E -3.25%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.63%E -6.54%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -10.02%E -7.70%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -6.73%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.79%E -2.72%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.04%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.17%E -3.77%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.94%E -5.97%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.73%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.81%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.86%E -4.31%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -9.32%E -7.12%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-01 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.95%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.26%EV -10.71%E -8.30%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-01 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.