Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 1.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 45.12%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 54.88%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +3.78%E +1.64%K +2.91%G +0.110% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -11.64%E -7.23%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.52%E +0.676%K +1.22%G +0.018% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +1.52%E +0.676%K +1.22%G +0.018% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -13.84%E -8.81%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 02:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.735%E -0.334%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 08:47 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.09%E -0.963%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.80%E -2.27%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.22%E -0.676%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -12.47%E -6.43%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -0.668%E -0.369%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.07%EV -13.37%E -6.96%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.93%EV -10.00%E -6.10%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-05 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.29%EV -15.17%E -8.07%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.71%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.