The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-21 04:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV -0.350%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%43.43%43.06%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.23%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV +0.313%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.407%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.57%56.94%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.631.7762.50%60.40%61.35%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 43.33%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 56.67%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.313%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV +0.313%E +0.177%K +0.407%G +0.001%3.0%2026-09-21 03:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.313%E +0.177%K +0.407%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-21 03:54
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.55%E -2.55%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.95%E -1.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-21 03:44
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 03:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-21 03:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-21 03:44
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.72%E -3.62%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.65%E -2.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 03:44
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.02%E -4.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.22%E -2.50%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 03:44
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.52%E -1.12%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 03:44
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 00:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.75%E -5.44%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 03:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.75%E -5.44%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 03:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.75%E -5.44%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 03:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.85%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.75%E -5.44%K -14.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.350%E -0.152%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 03:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.