The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 35.56%2.81fair odd
EV -0.428%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.67%35.56%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.632.622.8042.02%38.01%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 64.44%1.55fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +6.14%
Growth +0.230%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.65%64.33%64.44%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.6169.93%67.95%68.03%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 35.56%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 64.44%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -15.36%E -6.46%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV +3.75%E +2.33%K +6.14%G +0.230%4.1%2026-04-02 03:05
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 03:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.32%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 03:40
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.10%E -4.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 03:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.21%E -0.802%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.21%E -0.802%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 03:50
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 03:40
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 03:40
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 03:34
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.05%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 03:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.10%E -4.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 03:40
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 03:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 03:34
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 03:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 03:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 03:39
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 03:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.428%E -0.153%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.92%E -4.05%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 03:54
BetUS🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -1.85%E -0.671%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.92%E -4.05%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 03:54
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.92%E -4.05%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -7.90%E -3.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.92%E -4.05%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 03:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.56%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 03:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.56%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 03:33
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.83%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 03:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.83%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.83%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 03:50
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 03:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 03:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.10%E -4.44%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.85%E -5.49%K -18.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 03:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.