Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 2.21
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 55.66%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 44.34%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.59%E -1.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.00%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.01%E -0.909%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.66%E -4.20%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.15%E -1.81%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.10%E -4.44%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.71%E -2.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 08:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -4.26%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -11.32%E -5.66%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.01%E -0.909%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.01%E -0.909%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 08:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.11%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 07:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.10%E -4.44%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.34%E -1.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -11.32%E -5.66%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.67%E -2.17%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 07:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.75%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.25%EV -13.09%E -6.68%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.