The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 55.69%1.80fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.61%55.70%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7462.11%59.16%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 44.31%2.26fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.39%44.30%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.122.152.2051.02%47.27%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 55.69%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 44.31%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 04:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.10%E -1.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 21:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.65%E -2.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 08:53
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.65%E -2.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.28%E -4.00%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 08:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.65%E -2.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.77%E -2.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.32%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.85%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:59
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.32%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.32%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:49
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.32%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.32%E -3.13%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.51%E -3.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 13:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 13:15
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 08:05
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.88%E -3.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 18:04
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.44%E -3.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 08:54
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 08:48
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:09
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:15
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 04:09
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.11%E -4.91%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.67%E -5.28%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-19 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.78%E -6.04%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.34%E -6.42%K -16.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.16%E -6.71%K -13.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.