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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 56.17%1.78fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.47%56.26%56.19%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.671.7364.10%59.74%59.70%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 43.83%2.28fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%43.74%43.81%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.142.152.2551.02%46.75%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 56.17%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.83%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.13%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 08:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -9.27%E -4.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 07:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.13%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.51%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.08%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.38%E -0.613%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 06:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.38%E -0.613%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 06:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 06:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 14:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 06:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.32%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 05:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.01%E -5.56%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 08:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.01%E -5.56%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.57%E -5.94%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%EV -10.69%E -6.72%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.34%E -6.17%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.68%EV -12.38%E -7.93%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -14.09%E -7.19%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.