The School of Odds
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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 53.99%1.85fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.25%53.93%54.09%56.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.88%57.31%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 46.01%2.17fair odd
EV +0.767%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.645%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%46.07%45.91%47.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.052.1951.28%49.18%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 53.99%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 46.01%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.767%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.767%E +0.350%K +0.645%G +0.005%4.1%2026-05-23 03:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.07%E -0.499%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 04:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.07%E -0.499%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 04:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 04:49
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.74%E -0.958%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 04:50
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 04:49
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.20%E -0.657%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 04:29
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 04:29
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:48
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.06%E -3.48%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.60%E -3.82%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 04:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.60%E -3.82%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.60%E -3.82%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.60%E -3.82%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.60%E -3.82%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.98%E -3.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 04:49
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.90%E -4.49%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:49
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.82%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.36%E -4.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:50
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -9.82%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 04:49
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.52%E -3.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.28%E -5.27%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 04:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.28%E -5.27%K -10.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.