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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +4.84%
Growth +0.221%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.53%54.81%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.771.811.9462.89%56.45%55.25%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV -0.872%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.758%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.47%45.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.001.972.1553.48%49.89%50.76%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 53.89%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 46.11%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV +4.55%E +2.35%K +4.84%G +0.221% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -10.55%E -5.44%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.94%E +1.54%K +3.23%G +0.095% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.94%E +1.54%K +3.23%G +0.095% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV +1.86%E +0.984%K +2.09%G +0.039% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.32%E +0.702%K +1.50%G +0.020% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.48%E -5.98%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.781%E +0.418%K +0.898%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.78%E -7.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 08:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.781%E +0.418%K +0.898%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.78%E -7.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -0.296%E -0.160%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.37%E -0.751%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.09%E -5.18%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.37%E -0.751%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.91%E -1.05%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -8.71%E -4.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.45%E -1.35%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.872%E -0.405%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.22%E -3.58%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 08:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.30%E -4.25%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.79%E -3.89%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.872%E -0.405%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 02:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 15:48 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 08:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -5.48%E -2.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-30 08:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 02:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -13.23%E -8.22%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -9.63%E -4.91%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.83%EV -14.31%E -9.00%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.17%EV -11.02%E -5.71%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.