Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%54.20%54.23%55.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.49%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -0.211%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.80%45.77%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1851.28%48.67%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local): 54.23%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 45.77%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.185. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.180, with an expected value of -0.211%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:49
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.48%E -1.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 18:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 03:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.668%E -0.308%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:50
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:49
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:50
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 03:50
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 03:39
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 03:30
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 03:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 03:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 03:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.25%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 03:48
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 03:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:39
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.211%E -0.097%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.211%E -0.097%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 03:49
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 03:40
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 03:39
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 03:50
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 03:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.36%E -4.95%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 03:30
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.36%E -4.95%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.99%E -6.02%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -9.82%E -4.99%K -10.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 03:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.