Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 52.34%1.91fair odd
EV -0.550%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.40%52.22%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.9058.82%55.84%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.924%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%47.60%47.78%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.982.002.1254.05%50.47%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 52.34%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 47.66%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +1.04%E +0.488%K +0.924%G +0.010%4.3%2026-06-14 02:20
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.88%E -4.48%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 03:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.60%E -0.850%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-14 03:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.21%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 03:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 03:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 03:20
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 03:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 14:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.45%E -5.46%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.21%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 03:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:29
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.35%E -4.16%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 03:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 03:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.550%E -0.290%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.550%E -0.290%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 03:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.78%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 03:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 03:49
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -1.60%E -0.850%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 03:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.02%E -6.48%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.83%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.