Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 60.49%1.65fair odd

EV +4.65%

Edge +2.69%

Kelly +6.37%

Growth +0.296%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.47%60.18%60.61%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.571.541.7367.57%63.52%64.94%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd

EV +6.67%

Edge +2.47%

Kelly +3.93%

Growth +0.262%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.41%39.82%39.39%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.072.372.382.7048.31%42.15%42.02%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 60.49%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 39.51%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetUS🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV +4.65%E +2.69%K +6.37%G +0.296%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -18.22%E -8.80%K -17.03%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV +4.05%E +2.35%K +5.62%G +0.227%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -11.90%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-31 04:50
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV +2.23%E +1.32%K +3.23%G +0.072%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -10.71%E -4.74%K -8.50%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-31 04:50
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +2.23%E +1.32%K +3.23%G +0.072%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-31 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +1.02%E +0.611%K +1.52%G +0.016%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-31 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +1.02%E +0.611%K +1.52%G +0.016%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-31 04:50
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +1.02%E +0.611%K +1.52%G +0.016%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -15.06%E -7.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-31 04:48
Everygame🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -0.189%E -0.115%K -0.291%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -17.03%E -8.11%K -15.48%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-31 04:50
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-31 04:50
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Fanatics🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.82%E -2.40%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.20%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-31 04:49
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.88%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-31 04:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 04:50
BetRivers🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Unibet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
ReBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.84%E -4.44%K -12.67%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 04:50
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.438%E -0.174%K -0.288%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-31 04:43
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-31 04:50
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-31 04:50
Coolbet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.05%E -5.30%K -15.49%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.747%E +0.293%K +0.482%G +0.004%	5.0%	2026-05-31 04:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.747%E +0.293%K +0.482%G +0.004%	5.9%	2026-05-31 04:48
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.23%E -0.491%K -0.819%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 03:50
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.23%E -0.491%K -0.819%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.23%E -0.491%K -0.819%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.23%E -0.491%K -0.819%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.26%E -6.18%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.88%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-05-31 04:50
William Hill🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -10.47%E -7.08%K -21.82%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +6.67%E +2.47%K +3.93%G +0.262%	4.6%	2026-05-31 03:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.