The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 57.70%1.73fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.82%57.56%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.38%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd
EV +0.678%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.491%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%42.18%42.44%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3847.62%44.66%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 57.70%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 42.30%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.678%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +0.678%E +0.285%K +0.491%G +0.003%4.1%2026-05-29 08:29
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.591%E -0.252%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.44%E -0.617%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 08:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.44%E -0.617%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.44%E -0.617%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 08:49
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 07:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 08:39
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 08:50
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 15:07
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -1.34%E -0.781%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.36%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 08:49
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 08:48
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.34%E -0.781%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.26%E -5.19%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.