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Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 60.57%1.65fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.88%60.68%60.65%62.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.551.561.6268.49%64.39%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.68%39.32%39.35%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.352.5846.51%42.07%42.55%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 60.57%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 39.43%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV +1.74%E +0.673%K +1.10%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.73%E -4.37%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.42%E -0.567%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.81%E -0.728%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.81%E -0.728%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -2.21%E -0.890%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-28 08:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.78%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.57%E -1.89%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 15:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.73%E -4.37%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.94%E -5.22%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.30%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-28 06:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.30%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-28 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -10.36%E -7.00%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.56%EV -11.57%E -7.93%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -15.22%E -7.08%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.